SYDNEY SWANS V MELBOURNE DEMONS PREDICTION
THURSDAY – APRIL 11 – 7:20 PM
AFL Round 4 begins on Thursday night at the SCG when The Swans play hosts to the last placed Demons in a game between two sides who are playing well below expectations.
Sydney finally got on the winners board last weekend with a scrappy 19 point victory of the lowly Carlton Blues. This came after a Round 1 loss to the Western Bulldogs by 3 goals and a 26 point loss to the Crows in Round 2. Their attack has struggled to get into scoring territory, however the win over the Blues showed signs that the Swans are about to start lifting their game.
The Dees attack hasn’t been as poor as Sydney’s, however their defence has been guilty of switching off at pivotal moments. In Round 1, they trailed by just 8 points at the last break, before losing the fourth term 18-0. In Round 2 they trailed by 4 goals at halftime, but let in 6 unanswered goals in the third term and then scored 3 to Geelong’s 7 in the final. Last week The Demons lead by 7 at halftime, before Essendon kicked 7 goals to 2 in the third to set up a 3 goal victory.
The Swans have won their last 7 games against the Dees and 19 of their last 23 clashes.
Predicted Team Lists
Swans: Jake Lloyd, Dane Rampe, Callum Mills; Zak Jones, Aliir Aliir, Colin O’Riordan; Harry Cunningham, Isaac Heeney, Jordan Dawson; Tom Papley, Lance Franklin, Nick Blakey; Tom McCartin, Sam Reid, Ben Ronke; Callum Sinclair, Luke Parker, Josh Kennedy; Jackson Thurlow, Oliver Florent, George Hewett, James Rose.
Demons: Michael Hibberd, Oscar McDonald, Neville Jetta; Bayley Fritsch, Sam Frost, Christian Salem; Jayden Hunt, Clayton Oliver, Nathan Jones; James Harmes, Sam Weideman, Kade Kolodjashnij; Alex Neal-Bullen, Tom McDonald, Jake Melksham; Max Gawn, Christian Petracca, Jack Viney; Angus Brayshaw, Corey Wagner, Jay Lockhart, Josh Wagner.
Milestones: Tom McDonald will play his 150th career and club game.
COLLINGWOOD MAGPIES V WESTERN BULLDOGS PREDICTION
FRIDAY – APRIL 12 – 7:50 PM
Looking on the AFL ladder, one could be mistaken for thinking that this was a cut and dried contest, however a closer look shows that the 11th placed Magpies are very evenly matched with the 5th placed Western Bulldogs.
The Magpies had a narrow loss to the Cats in Round 1, losing by 7 points after scores were locked at the end of the third term. The Pies then dominated the Tigers in Round 2, especially in the second half as they cruised to a 44 point win. Last week the Magpies trailed by 9 at the major break, but fell away afterwards to lose by 22 points.
The Bulldogs season got off to a flying start, quite literally when they jumped out to a 5 goal lead over favourites Sydney in Round 1, before cruising to a 3 goal victory. In Round 2 the Dogs staged a blistering last quarter surge to boot 9 goals to turn a 5 goal deficit at three quarter time into a 19 point victory. Last week they crashed to earth after going down to the Suns, despite staging another second half fightback.
Last year the Pies ended a run of 5 straight losses against the Bulldogs with a comfortable 90-55 victory.
Predicted Team Lists
Magpies: Brayden Maynard, Jordan Roughead, Jeremy Howe; Jack Crisp, Darcy Moore, James Aish; Chris Mayne, Scott Pendlebury, Steele Sidebottom; Josh Thomas, Mason Cox, Levi Greenwood; Tom Phillips, Brody Mihocek, Jordan De Goey; Brodie Grundy, Dayne Beams, Taylor Adams; Jaidyn Stephenson, Jamie Elliott, Adam Treloar, Tom Langdon.
Bulldogs: Jason Johannisen, Zaine Cordy, Hayden Crozier; Caleb Daniel, Easton Wood, Matthew Suckling; Lachie Hunter, Tom Liberatore, Jack Macrae; Tory Dickson, Josh Schache, Josh Dunkley; Toby McLean, Aaron Naughton, Sam Lloyd; Tim English, Marcus Bontempelli, Mitch Wallis; Bailey Smith, Taylor Duryea, Ed Richards, Billy Gowers.
Milestones: Chris Mayne will play his 200th career game.
Tory Dickson will play his 100th career and club game.
GEELONG CATS V GWS GIANTS PREDICTION
SATURDAY – APRIL 13 – 1:45PM
The only two AFL teams in Round 4 from inside the top 4 playing against each other. Competition leaders, the undefeated Geelong will host the fourth placed Giants in what is undoubtedly the match of the round. The Giants though have had 2 big wins and 1 big loss, so their consistency is something that is still questionable.
The Cats did enough in the final term in Round 1 to walk away with a 7 point win over the Pies, but they really stepped up a gear in Round 2 as they annihilated the Dees by 80 points, kicking 13 goals in the second half. They survived a Crows third term fightback last week to skip away to an impressive 4 goal win at Adelaide.
Greater Western Sydney opened their 2019 AFL season with a 12 goal thrashing of Essendon, where they confined the Bombers to just 5 majors for the entire game. The tables were turned the following week though when they were handed a 52 point defeat by the Eagles, in a match where the Giants never really got out of the blocks. They bounced back strongly with a 49 point win over the Tigers last week, kicking 6 goals to 1 in the final term to take the comfortable win.
Geelong has had 9 games against GWS, producing 7 wins, a draw and just the 1 loss back in Round 2, 2016.
Predicted Team Lists
Cats: Lachie Henderson, Mark Blicavs, Tom Stewart; Jake Kolodjashnij, Harry Taylor, Mark O’Connor; Joel Selwood, Patrick Dangerfield, Luke Dahlhaus; Mitch Duncan, Esava Ratugolea, Brandan Parfitt; Gary Ablett, Tom Atkins, Gary Rohan; Rhys Stanley, Tom Hawkins, Tim Kelly; Jordan Clark, Charlie Constable, Sam Menegola, Gryan Miers.
Giants: Heath Shaw, Phil Davis, Zac Williams; Nick Haynes, Sam Taylor, Matt Buntine; Jeremy Finlayson, Stephen Coniglio, Lachie Whitfield; Adam Tomlinson, Jeremy Cameron, Josh Kelly; Matt de Boer, Harry Himmelberg, Toby Greene; Shane Mumford, Jacob Hopper, Tim Taranto; Sam Reid, Brent Daniels, Daniel Lloyd, Adam Kennedy.
Milestones: Lachie Henderson will play his 50th game for his club.
Patrick Dangerfield needs 3 goals to reach 100 for his club.
ESSENDON BOMBERS V BRISBANE LIONS PREDICTION
SATURDAY – APRIL 13 – 2:10 PM
The AFL Round 4 odds for this match are the closest for the Round, with a great contest expected to take place. Form suggests Brisbane should get home, however expectation would see the result flipped.
The Bombers had a miserable start to 2019 when they got belted by GWS 112-40, where the failed to kick a goal in the first term, something that they repeated in Round 2 against The Saints. Essendon lost that game too, by 2 goals. They bounced back with three great quarters and one poor one against the out-of-form Melbourne last weekend, eventually getting up by 3 majors.
The Lions have had a much better start to their year, winning all of their opening three games. They had a bad first term in Round 1 against the Eagles, trailing 38-11 at the first break, but their attack and defence both improved immensely after they break and they scored 91 points to 20 over the last 3 terms to win by 44. In Round 2 they pulled out a brilliant final term to break away from the Roos and win by 20. Last week they lead at every break to defeat Power by 3 goals.
The last 5 games between these two sides has seen them both trading wins. The Bombers won last time 84-62 at the GABBA.
Predicted Team Lists
Bombers: Aaron Francis, Patrick Ambrose, Conor McKenna; Cale Hooker, Michael Hurley, Adam Saad; Orazio Fantasia, Zach Merrett, Dyson Heppell; Andrew McGrath, Jake Stringer, Jordan Ridley; Devon Smith, James Stewart, Mark Baguley; Tom Bellchambers, David Zaharakis, Dylan Shiel; Mason Redman, Darcy Parish, Matt Guelfi, Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti.
Lions: Luke Hodge, Harris Andrews, Daniel Rich; Alex Witherden, Darcy Gardiner, Josh Walker; Dayne Zorko, Lachie Neale, Hugh McCluggage; Cam Rayner, Eric Hipwood, Mitch Robinson; Charles Cameron, Daniel McStay, Lincoln McCarthy; Stefan Martin, Jarrod Berry, Jarryd Lyons; Ryan Bastinac, Zac Bailey, Rhys Mathieson, Oscar McInerney.
Milestones: Kyle Langford will play his 50th club and career game.
Jake Stringer needs 4 goals to reach 200 for his career.
PORT ADELAIDE POWER V RICHMOND TIGERS PREDICTION
SATURDAY – APRIL 13 – 4:05 PM
Current betting odds suggest that the AFL Round 4 winners of this game will be Port, however both teams are coming off a loss last weekend and the form for both sides has been trending downwards over the last fortnight.
Port Adelaide got their season off to a good start when they scored a comfortable victory over Melbourne by 26 points. They were less convincing in Round 2 against Carlton, a side they were expected to stroll through, instead they had to fight hard in the final term to get home by 16 points. It wasn’t a surprise then to see them fall to the Lions last weekend by 3 goals.
The Tigers had a casual start to their season with a 33 point win over Carlton, in a match where they were never really threatened. The following week against the Pies though saw them crashing to a 44 point loss. Things went from bad to worse as they fell heavily last week to the Giants by 49 points.
Predicted Team Lists
Power: Riley Bonner, Tom Clurey, Dan Houston; Ryan Burton, Tom Jonas, Darcy Byrne-Jones; Steven Motlop, Tom Rockliff, Justin Westhoff; Travis Boak, Brad Ebert, Sam Gray; Robbie Gray, Paddy Ryder, Connor Rozee; Scott Lycett, Xavier Duursma, Willem Drew; Sam Powell-Pepper, Ollie Wines, Zak Butters, Dougal Howard.
Tigers: Nathan Broad, David Astbury, Ryan Garthwaite; Nick Vlastuin, Dylan Grimes, Bachar Houli; Brandon Ellis, Shane Edwards, Kamdyn McIntosh; Dan Butler, Josh Caddy, Jason Castagna; Daniel Rioli, Tom J. Lynch, Noah Balta; Toby Nankervis, Dion Prestia, Kane Lambert; Jack Higgins, Oleg Markov, Jack Graham, Sydney Stack.
Milestones: Robbie Gray needs 2 goals to reach 300 for his club and career.
Justin Westhoff needs 4 goals to reach 300 for his club and career.
NORTH MELBOURNE KANGAROOS V ADELAIDE CROWS PREDICTION
SATURDAY – APRIL 13 – 7:25 PM
The AFL Round 4 team lists for these sides are expected to have plenty of changes due to form, players returning and injuries. Only one point separates these sides in attack
The Roos were completely outplayed from start to finish by Freo in Round 1, copping an 82 point hiding in the process. While they lost again in Round 2, they were far more competitive, losing by just 20 points to the Lions. Round 3, while producing another loss, also saw the Roos reduce the losing margin to less then 3 goals when they came up against Hawthorn.
The Crows are one of the more fancied sides for the title this year, but have been a bit slow out of the blocks. They opened with a 32 point loss to Hawthorn, before hitting back in Round 2 with a good win over Sydney by 26 points at the SCG. The lost to Geelong last week by 4 goals in a fairly competitive effort.
The Crows have won 7 of their last 10 games against the Roos, However the Roos have won 4 of their 5 clashes with Adelaide at Docklands.
Predicted Team Lists
Kangaroos: Jamie Macmillan, Robbie Tarrant, Ben McKay; Jasper Pittard, Scott Thompson, Luke McDonald; Jared Polec, Shaun Higgins, Bailey Scott; Aaron Hall, Jack Ziebell, Paul Ahern; Jed Anderson, Ben Brown, Tom Campbell; Todd Goldstein, Ben Cunnington, Luke Davies-Uniacke; Sam Wright, Trent Dumont, Dom Tyson, Shaun Atley.
Crows: Jake Kelly, Alex Keath, Rory Laird; Brodie Smith, Daniel Talia, David Mackay; Cam Ellis-Yolmen, Matt Crouch, Riley Knight; Rory Sloane, Taylor Walker, Rory Atkins; Chayce Jones, Josh Jenkins, Eddie Betts; Reilly O’Brien, Bryce Gibbs, Brad Crouch; Myles Poholke, Tom Lynch, Wayne Milera, Lachlan Murphy.
Milestones: Luke McDonald will play his 100th career and club game.
WEST COAST EAGLES V FREMANTLE DOCKERS PREDICTION
SATURDAY – APRIL 13 – 6:10 PM
If recent form is any guide, then one of the first known AFL Results in Round 4 will be an Eagles victory over the Dockers. The Eagles have won the last 7 of the local derby against Freo, 6 of which have been by at least 4 goals.
West Coast suffered a fairly convincing loss to the Lions in Round 1, going down by 102-58, despite kicking away with a 5 goal lead after the first break. They hit back in Round 2 in commanding fashion, dishing out a 52 defeat to the GWS Giants. Last week the Eagles looked solid as they beat the Pies by 4 goals.
Fremantle hit the ground running in Round 1, kicking at least 5 goals in every quarter against North Melbourne, to record a blistering 82 point victory. It came as a huge shock then to see them lost in Round 2 by just 3 points to the wayward kicking Suns. Freo bounced back with a narrow 5 point win last week over St.Kilda.
Predicted Team Lists
Eagles: Shannon Hurn, Tom Barrass, Brad Sheppard; Lewis Jetta, Jeremy McGovern, Tom Cole; Andrew Gaff, Elliot Yeo, Jack Redden; Jack Petruccelle, Jack Darling, Chris Masten; Liam Ryan, Josh Kennedy, Jamie Cripps; Nathan Vardy, Dom Sheed, Luke Shuey; Oscar Allen, Tom Hickey, Mark Hutchings, Josh Rotham.
Dockers: Luke Ryan, Alex Pearce, Joel Hamling; Adam Cerra, Nathan Wilson, Reece Conca; Brad Hill, Nat Fyfe, Ed Langdon; Michael Walters, Cam McCarthy, Andrew Brayshaw; Travis Colyer, Matt Taberner, Jesse Hogan; Rory Lobb, Darcy Tucker, David Mundy; Bailey Banfield, Ethan Hughes, Brandon Matera, Taylin Duman.
Milestones: Ed Langdon will play his 50th club and career game.
GOLD COAST SUNS V CARLTON BLUES PREDICTION
SUNDAY – APRIL 14 – 2:40 PM
One of the hardest AFL Round 4 tips to make will be predicting the winner of this contest. Two sides that have been camped at the wrong end of the ladder for a number of years now, and as far as betting is concerned, 2019 is expected to be more of the same.
The Suns though have been reasonably impressive thus far. IN Round 1 they were unlucky to lose, going down to St Kilda by just 1 point, having fought back from a 2 goal deficit at the end of the third. Despite some wayward kicking, they just held on in Round 2 to defeat Freo by 3 points, despite kicking one goal less. Last week, the Suns beat the Western Bulldogs by just 5 points, almost blowing a 3 goal lead at three-quarter time.
Carlton have yet to win a game this season, but by no means have they been disgraced. They went down to Richmond in Round 1 by 33 points, with the game getting away from them in the last term. In Round 2 the Blues were again right in the game up til the final term, trailing Port Adelaide by 3 points, before going down by 16 points. Last week they came up against an out of form Sydney side and at full time, were just 19 points adrift.
Carlton has won 6 of their 10 games against the Suns, however the last 4 games has seen these side trading wins, with the Blues winning the last encounter.
Predicted Team Lists
Suns: Jarrod Harbrow, Sam Collins, Charlie Ballard; Jack Bowes, Jack Hombsch, Pearce Hanley; Lachie Weller, Brayden Fiorini, Will Powell; Alex Sexton, Peter Wright, Jordan Murdoch; Jack Lukosius, Chris Burgess, Jack Martin; Jarrod Witts, Touk Miller, David Swallow; Nic Holman, Jesse Joyce, Anthony Miles, Darcy Macpherson.
Blues: Liam Jones, Lachie Plowman, Kade Simpson; Dale Thomas, Jacob Weitering, Nic Newman; Marc Murphy, Patrick Cripps, Sam Petrevski-Seton; Ed Curnow, Harry McKay, Sam Walsh; Zac Fisher, Mitch McGovern, Michael Gibbons; Matthew Kreuzer, Will Setterfield, Paddy Dow; Jarrod Garlett, Caleb Marchbank, Lochie O’Brien, Levi Casboult.
Milestones: Matthew Lobbe will play his 100th career game.
Jesse Joyce will play his 50th career and club game.
Charlie Curnow will play his 50th career and club game.
Liam Jones will play his 50th club game.
ST.KILDA V HAWTHORN HAWKS PREDICTION
SUNDAY – APRIL 14 – 3:20 PM
These two sides have had 2 wins and a loss to start the season, making for an interesting final match for the round of AFL fixtures.
The Saints have been very competitive in every game so far. They opened their 2019 campaign with a hard fought victory over the Gold Coast Suns, winning by just 1 point, after conceding 3 unanswered goals in the final term. In Round 2 the Saints had a hard fought 2 goal victory over Essendon and in Round 3 they were unable to reel in the Dockers, going down by just 5 points.
Hawthorn opened steadily against Adelaide, before showing their defensive prowess in the second half, kicking 6 goals to 2, to win by 32 points. In Round 2 the Hawks held a 5 goal lead over the Bulldogs going into the last term, but were swamped in the final term as the Dogs kicked 9 goals to 1 to win by 19 points. Last week Hawthorn showed they had learnt from the last term failure the week before. After the third term they held a 1 point lead over the Kangaroos, before kicking on in the last term, kicking 5 goals to 3 to win by 16 points.
Hawthorn has won 8 of their last 9 clashes with the Saints.
Predicted Team Lists
Saints: Jeremy Webster, Nathan Brown, Shane Savage; Jack Newnes, Josh Battle, Daniel McKenzie; Jarryn Geary, Seb Ross, Jack Billings; Dean Kent, Josh Bruce, Matt Parker; Jack Lonie, Tim Membrey, Jade Gresham; Rowan Marshall, Jack Steele, Hunter Clark; Luke Dunstan, Jack Steven, Jack Sinclair, Callum Wilkie.
Hawks: Blake Hardwick, James Frawley, Jarman Impey; Harry Morrison, James Sicily, Ben Stratton; Isaac Smith, James Cousins, Ricky Henderson; Dylan Moore, Conor Nash, Chad Wingard; Luke Breust, Jack Gunston, Paul Puopolo; Ben McEvoy, James Worpel, Jaeger O’Meara; Jack Scrimshaw, Tom Scully, Jonathan Ceglar, David Mirra.
Milestones: Ben McEvoy will play his 100th game for his club.