ROUND 5 BETTING ON DUSTIN MARTIN

Betting On: Dustin Martin

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Regarded by many as the best player in the AFL today, Dustin Martin is a contender for the unofficial mantle of the league’s dominant figure of the past five years. The 28-year-old Richmond Tigers spearhead is a two-time premiership player – winning the Norm Smith Medal on both occasions – and has clinched a Brownlow Medal and earned All-Australian status three times.

Born in Castlemaine, Victoria, and playing his junior footy in Bendigo, Martin was Richmond’s first pick in the 2010 draft (third overall). He has played 227 games for the Tigers, kicking a total of 251 goals – including a career-high 37 during his staggering 2017 campaign. Dustin Martin’s Brownlow Medal win featured a record tally of 36 votes, and he went on to win the Norm Smith Medal as the club ended a 37-year premiership drought. Martin is perennially among the betting favourites for both awards.

The brilliant, durable midfielder became just the fourth dual Norm Smith Medal winner after again being judged best on ground in Richmond’s 2019 AFL Grand Final demolition of GWS Giants. Martin has more tricks up his sleeve than he has ink in his sleeve tattoos, but it’s his tenacity, competitiveness and ability to cover ground and physically dominate his opponents that sets him apart as arguably the AFL’s best all-round exponent.

Thanks to Sportsbet’s AFL Player Hub, Dustin Martin betting is easier than ever before. A wide range of Dustin Martin odds and Dustin Martin betting markets – including Dustin Martin disposals and Dustin Martin first goal scorer bet options – are grouped together in the Player Hub so you can easily place a Dustin Martin bet. There are Dustin Martin Brownlow options available as well.

DUSTIN MARTIN BROWNLOW MEDAL: GROUND TO MAKE UP

Dustin Martin’s Brownlow Medal performances over the past five seasons reflect in equal measure his consistency and ability to take a game by the scruff of the neck.

Martin finished seventh in 2015 (21 votes) and third in 2016 (25 votes), before surging to victory with an unprecedented 36 votes in 2017. He was seventh in 2018 (19 votes) and placed sixth last year (23 votes) – despite the wide consensus he was slightly down on form across the 2019 season.

But as of the start of July, Martin is on the ninth line of betting for the 2020 prize, with the main obstacles to Dustin Martin’s Brownlow quest shaping as Brisbane’s Lachie Neale, Carlton’s Patrick Cripps, Western Bulldogs’ Marcus Bontempelli, Fremantle’s Nat Fyfe and Geelong’s Patrick Dangerfield. Check out other players in Brownlow Medal contention at Sportsbet News.

Martin should have picked up a vote or two in Richmond’s round 1 win over Carlton but it’s unlikely he added to the tally in the round 2 draw against Collingwood. Then a rib injury ruled him out of Richmond’s clash with Hawthorn in round 3, contributing to the Tigers’ dismal 32-point loss. He returned last week but was well contained by St Kilda last weekend as the suddenly under-pressure Tigers went down by 26 points.

It’s a shortened season but there’s still plenty of footy left for Martin to stake a claim for the award and have punters clamouring to place a Dustin Martin Brownlow Medal bet. Martin will be hungry for votes as he attempts to lift the Tigers to a much-needed win in their AFL round 5 encounter with Melbourne.

DUSTIN MARTIN FIRST GOAL SCORER: APPROACH WITH CAUTION

Dustin Martin’s odds for the first goal scorer in Sunday’s Demons–Tigers clash were the third-shortest as of Wednesday, behind only Tigers forwards Tom Lynch and Jack Riewoldt.

Although Martin does have a strong goal-scoring strike rate, Richmond coach Damien Hardwick generally starts his star midfielder on the ball before sending him forward more as the game wears on. That said, Martin did score the Tigers’ first goal in three of their last four matches in 2019 – although on each occasion it was the second goal of the match overall.

Martin’s sole goal from three outings in 2020 so far came deep in the second quarter of the Tigers’ round 1 win over the Blues. A Dustin Martin first goal scorer bet in round 5 will provide decent value but there are more astute options.

DUSTIN MARTIN TO SCORE TWO OR MORE GOALS: KICKING A BAG AGAINST SOME JUICY ODDS

Dustin Martin has a habit of kicking multiple goals in a game – notably during the 2019 AFL finals, when he slotted an equal-career-high six against Brisbane in the qualifying final, two against Collingwood in the prelim and four against GWS in the Grand Final.

In 23 games last season, he failed to kick a goal on eight occasions and booted one goal in six games. But he managed two or more goals in nine games – including three or more four times.

Dustin Martin’s odds to boot two, three, four, five or more goals against Melbourne in round 5 are certainly juicy, given his penchant for kicking a bag. He has managed five-plus goals three times in his glittering career – all during the 2018 and 2019 seasons – although the change to 16-minute quarters may stymie his ability to rack up huge hauls.

Punters have good reason to be tempted by a Dustin Martin–to-score-two-or-more-goals bet, as he’s done so 30 times in his last 53 outings for the Tigers. But he’s currently on a streak of two games without a major.

Richmond is averaging fewer than seven goals per game since the season’s resumption; a return to goalscoring form from Martin will help boost those numbers.

DUSTIN MARTIN DISPOSALS: SKINNY ODDS BUT SOLID VALUE

The disposals markets are a favourite of punters when it comes to Dustin Martin betting.

Dustin Martin’s odds to get 20 or more disposals against the Demons on Sunday are relatively skinny, although still solid value given he has failed to reach that threshold just 12 times in 118 games since early 2015, and only once in his last 11 appearances.

Martin tallied 24 disposals in round 1 against the Blues and 20 versus the Magpies in round 2, but he was restricted to just 18 by the Saints in his round 4 return – his second-lowest tally in the past year.

A Dustin Martin disposals bet on the 25-or-more, 30-or-more, and 35-or-more markets gives punters a chance of a big return. He chalked up 25-plus disposals in 13 games last year – going on to tally 30-plus in nine of those games and 35-plus five times.

‘Dusty’ had a whopping 34 disposals as Richmond thumped Melbourne by 33 points in round 20 last year amid a 12-match winning streak that swept the Tigers to premiership glory.

Dion Prestia had a team-high 25 disposals against the Saints last week, closely followed by Shane Edwards (24) and Trent Cotchin (23). But expect to see Martin back near the top of the Tigers’ count in round 5.

One important point to consider: the reduction to 16-minute quarters will have an impact on the time Martin has to get those 20+ disposals…and naturally means that big disposal totals will be much harder to achieve this season.

AFL EXPERT TIP

Melbourne Demons v Richmond Tigers – Same Game Multi: Dustin Martin to get 20 or more disposals and any time goal scorer

With just one win on the board – way back in March – Richmond is desperate for a positive result against Melbourne in round 5. They need talisman Dustin Martin to rediscover his best form after a quiet 17-disposal, no-goal performance in last week’s loss to St Kilda. Martin rarely has two poor games in a row and should see a boost in both key areas on Sunday.

Sportsbet has AFL odds and betting options for the 2020 AFL premiership, including Richmond AFL futures and Brownlow Medal oddsBet now.

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