SEEING THE LIGHT – MATTERS FOR REFLECTION

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There has indeed been much for the Lighthouse to turn his enquiring mind to this past fortnight. So much in fact that I could comfortably fill three columns this week and still have change for the bus. Issues such as …………

MATTERS TO CONSIDER

  • Should the MRC move the Caulfield Cup back a month (unsure), and if they do should they go on their own (no) or drag the rest of the Spring Carnival with them?
  • Can Peter Vlandys get spectators trackside, even if it’s just into the members dining rooms, in Sydney by July? (Probably)

  • When Tasmanian racing resumes in a fortnight, will there be enough horses and jockeys left in the state to run a meeting?
  • Will a jockey that has been rubbed out in Queensland by the stewards, ever get round to serving his/her suspension? It’s a month since Baylee Nothdurft copped three months for his work, or lack of it, on Vega One and even longer since Zoe White got similar for a breach of Covid Protocols. Yet both, and many others, continue happily riding under seemingly permanent stays of proceedings. Maybe they’re just blocking until the Stradbroke is over, and will then collectively run up the white flag, leaving Brisbane with less jockeys than Hobart.
  • Are any of the Treasury officials that buggered up the calculations on the Government’s Jobkeeper spend by around $60bill, available to conduct an analysis of my Sportsbet account? If so, is finding a way to boost my balance by a lazy $500 too much to ask?
  • And that’s not all – horse transport from NZ is suspended, a bomb hoax at Eagle Farm and now football is back. My brain hurts.

HONG KONG SALES

During the week I noticed Shadow Hero had been sold to Hong Kong, supposedly for $3.2Mil. I’ve seen several commentators suggest that the purchasers have rocks in their heads, but the Lighthouse thinks that on reasonable going up to 2000m he’s the best 3yo in the country, and being by Pierro there’s no reason why he won’t hold his form or even get better.

Stranger to me by far was the $2.5mil offer made (and incredibly rejected) for Kinane after he won the Packer Plate, a race that was certainly not the gold standard of 3yo races this season, plus Kinane is by a sire in Reliable Man whose star 3yo’s have yet to make meaningful progression as 4 and 5yo’s. Yours at half the price I say.

Having said that I hope I’m wrong and that Kinane goes on to reward his loyal owners handsomely.

Anyway, whether horse or human, I’m not sure that I’d be wanting to move to Honkers at the moment with the crap that looks like it might be about to descend on it from the north. I hope David Hayes knows what he’s doing!

THIS WEEK’S PUNTING MYSTERY

One of the Lighthouse’s favourite trainers is the Torquay based Bryce Stanaway. Bryce has the seemingly unique ability to take horses with a diverse range of pedigrees, whether they be by fashionable stallions like High Chaparral, Street Cry, or Zoustar or by the nag that pulls the local milk cart, and turn them all into seemingly the same horse –  a durable but slow long distance maiden or benchmark 58’er that fronts up week in, week out, generally finishing midfield or worse at cricket score odds.

He is best known to many in recent years for two horses, Crafty Cruiser and Costano Mille. The great Crafty Cruiser somehow busted out of Bryce’s 58 class prison for several years and competed successfully in good Melbourne staying races.  Now rising 13 and facing forced retirement, the old champ is safely back trudging around in 58’s with his stablemates.  Costano Mille, still trying for her maiden victory after 109 starts, is a fine example of Bryce’s laudable, but frequently futile, persistence.

Over the past 2 seasons Bryce has tasted success at the provincials just 5 times from over 400 runners, which is about the same rate at which the Lighthouse pulls supermodels.

On Tuesday at Hamilton, Bryce provided 3 of the 10 starters in the 2200m maiden, as he frequently does.  One of them Faltonius, without a placing in his 7 start career, inexplicably ran a 6/4 favourite. Please explain, punters! Anyway, he was beaten 13 lengths into 6th position.

GUEST TIPSTER PANEL

This week I’ve invited Frisky Dave back for another shot at showing my readers what he’s got. Frisky tipped one from 2 last time, so was officially profitable.

Red Hot Richo gave me 2 seconds with his tips last time, including the luckless defeat of Beehunter in the last at Flemington, a defeat which gave birth to the already legendary Damien Oliver / John Sadler postrace “altercation” video.

Richo seemed to think two seconds was pretty good when he rang me after the last, but took offence when I offered him some constructive analysis of his work.

“Richo, you can look at this two ways. Two 20/1 shots running second would impress me, but what I am seeing is two beaten favourites.”

With Thin Skinned Richo petulantly withdrawing his services this week, I am pitting Frisky against this week’s barnstorming winner of the legendary Saturday Hyxy Tipping Contest.

That winner was in fact The Lighthouse, who won some tipping respect back in slaying an elite field of 50, with a string of insightful value selections. Special thanks to the mighty Victorem, who is now officially nominated for Lighthouse Horse of the Year.

FRISKY’S FLIERS

CAULFIELD R1 Crystal Chief($4.20);  MORPHETTVILLE R3 Bertwhistle($4.60)

LIGHTHOUSE’S HORSES OF HAPPINESS

CAULFIELD R9 Carzoff($13)E/W: MORPHETTVILLE R2 Flop($5)

BENCHMARK 70 ZORADAMUS (as told to the Lighthouse)

Caulfield

R1 Crystal Chief($4.20)  Outstanding first up

R2 Paul’s Regret($4.80) Luckless recently

R5 Gododdin($4) Maps well

R7 Sikorsky($2.20) Going to better things

Rosehill

R5 Murillo($23) Will surprise soon, maybe tomorrow

R8 Irish Songs($12) Flying and down in grade

R9 Adelong($2.60) On the way to better races

Doomben

R1 Koonunga($4.80)

R2 Star Of Michelin($3.30) Looks his race

R4 Minjee($13) Forgive last run

R6 Scallopini($6.50) Should get gun run

R7 Savacool($26) Last week Savaheat, this week Savacool

R9 Madam Rouge($15) Back on dry, last chance/ Jen Rules($16)

MORPHETTVILLE

R4 Magno($8)

R7 Brimarvi Vehero($3.60)

 

 

What do you think?