Three to Follow, Three to Forgive & Three to Forget | Saturday 18th Jan

Comments

After a long hot, and smokey summer, the drought broke just in time to give Rosehill a good soaking leading into Saturday’s meeting leaving punters scouring the form for any signs of a long forgotten wet track performance.

Whilst some of our old favourite ‘mudlarks’ got the job done, others broke new ground, seemingly gliding over the bog track, earmarking themselves as horses to follow for the future.

Follow

Cellsabeel: (Syd Race 1) Eye catching 4th in the Golden Gift, franked the form out of that race by blowing them away in the 1st race of the day. Bred in the purple, out of G1 mare Our Egyptian Raine, has rocketed in to Slipper favouritism. Is certainly the one you want to be on if we get a heavy track which is often the case on Slipper day, but it still looks a very open race.

Lashes: (Syd Race 3) Had the heavy track stats to go along with her excellent win strike rate but had to lump top weight and had punters worried when Collett elected to opt for a run back along the inside on a heavy track. That proved no problem, for not only this race, but the remainder of the day, as she booted clear at the furlong for a dominant win. Matt Smith team flying at the moment and this horse is starting to build a very handy record.

Bandersnatch: (Syd Race 9) Another who is building a handy record, he looked the leader on paper, with a bit of pressure to take him on. Suspect past 1400m particularly on a heavy. He might of only fell in, but it was a gutsy effort and would have slept alright Saturday night. 3 from 4 this prep and Saturday’s effort back on his home track proved that the two Kenso wins were no fluke. Worth sticking with.

Forgive

Beyliks: (Syd Race 1) Dwelt to begin with, urged along and never appeared in his comfort zone either ridden handy or on the heavy track. Cellsabeel slipped past him at the furlong like he was nailed to the ground, he gradually regained momentum before tiring late and pulled up with a poor recovery rate. Might find them a bit sharp in the slipper but certainly not out of it yet back on a dry and worth keeping in mind for races like the Sires and Champagne.

River Bird: (Syd Race 7) Was a revelation over the winter on heavy tracks and whilst this was short of her best you always knew she would pull out a cheeky run. And she didn’t let supporters down flying home late for 3rd in 34.48 the quickest of the day proving she has come back every bit as well as she was racing over the winter months. Worth following this prep again.

Costello: (Syd Race 9) Did he just pull out a sensational first up run telling us he is in for a big prep? Or did he just do his usual, flash home late only to get you in for more of the same next time? Time will tell, but history tells us his best run is generally 2nd up, so for those loyal followers or the thrill seekers among us, he is probably worth one last chance next time he goes around.

Forget

New Universe: (Bris Race 5) New state, new rider, but just more of the same. Building a record akin to old stable mate Tom Melbourne.

Royal Witness: (Syd Race 7) Kenso track only.

Mercurial Lad: (Syd Race 8) Snuck one on the Kenso at odds last time. First horse beaten back on a real track against decent opposition. Stay away.

What do you think?